Letter of the Day | Decline in Jamaica’s monetary base is concerning
Published:Friday | July 11, 2025 | 12:09 AM
THE EDITOR, Madam:
RJR94FM in its July 9 financial news, quoted Bank of Jamaica, stating that “the country’s monetary base has declined by 17 billion dollars by the end of June 2025.” This significant decrease carries serious implications for our economy.
The monetary base serves as a critical indicator of liquidity in the economy, influencing inflation rates, interest rates, and overall economic growth. A decline of this magnitude suggests that there is less money circulating within the economy, which can lead to numerous adverse effects.
The reduction in the monetary base could hinder business investment and consumer spending. When the money supply contracts, financial institutions may tighten lending standards, making it more difficult for businesses to secure loans for expansion or operations. This contraction can stall economic growth, potentially leading to job losses and reduced consumer confidence.
Further, a decrease in the monetary base could have deflationary effects. As the supply of money dwindles, prices may stabilise or even decrease, which can be detrimental to economic growth. While low inflation might seem beneficial, prolonged deflation can lead to a decrease in consumer spending, as people may hold off on purchasing goods and services in anticipation of lower prices in the future. This change in consumer behaviour can exacerbate economic stagnation.
Additionally, the decline in the monetary base could impact government revenues. With sluggish economic activity, tax collections may decrease, leading to budgetary constraints for the government. This may hinder social programmes, infrastructure development, and other critical services that support the Jamaican populace.
It is crucial for policymakers to address this issue proactively. Strategies such as quantitative easing or other stimulative monetary policies may need to be considered to restore liquidity and encourage economic growth. Collaboration between the Bank of Jamaica and the government is essential to navigate these turbulent waters and reassure the public and investors of our economic stability.
The reported decline in the monetary base not only signals challenges for the Jamaican economy but also calls for immediate attention from all stakeholders. It is imperative that we engage in meaningful dialogue and action to mitigate the repercussions of this development.
DUDLEY MCLEAN II